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Generally speaking, it appears that pre-war analyses overrated Russia’s hardware advantage and underrated less tangible factors - including logistical capacity and the morale of the front-line combat troops on both sides. There are many reasons things have turned out this way.
#REAL WAR ZONE PROFESSIONAL#
“Having spent a chunk of my professional career with the Ukrainians: Nobody, myself included and themselves included, had all that high an estimation of their military capacity,” says Olga Oliker, the program director for Europe and Central Asia at the International Crisis Group. A Ukrainian soldier examines a destroyed Russian armored personnel carrier in Irpin, north of Kyiv, on March 12. In early February, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Mark Milley told members of Congress that Kyiv could fall within 72 hours of a Russian invasion.īut Russia’s military has proven more incompetent, and Ukraine’s more capable, than nearly anyone anticipated. On virtually any quantifiable metric of military strength, from defense spending to the size of the respective air forces, Russia’s forces vastly outnumber and outgun Ukraine’s.
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This is not how the war was supposed to go. “We’re seeing a country militarily implode,” says Robert Farley, a professor at the University of Kentucky who studies air power. It’s hard to get accurate information in a war zone, but one of the more authoritative estimates of Russian war dead - from the US Defense Department - finds that over 7,000 Russian soldiers have been killed in the first three weeks of fighting, a figure about three times as large as the total US service members dead in all 20 years of fighting in Afghanistan. Russian casualties have been horrifically high. The Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday that Ukrainian forces have even managed to mount a counteroffensive around Kyiv.
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On Thursday, the UK Defense Intelligence Agency assessed that Russia’s offensive “ has largely stalled on all fronts,” a judgment echoed by open source analysts tracking developments on the ground. Since then, the Russians have adjusted to a more gradual advance backed by heavy artillery fire, an approach that has allowed them to make some noticeable territorial gains.īut these advances appear to have been halted, at least temporarily. The initial Russian invasion plan, a lightning march aimed at conquering Kyiv, collapsed within days. And by most accounts, the Russian war effort has been a disaster. Where are the reporters who only speak the truth? The Bible explains the age we are now experiencing.It has been a little over three weeks since Russia initially invaded Ukraine. Even now, Israel fights lies and propaganda every day. So, why am I bringing this up? Because lying and exaggerating for political propaganda has been used against Israel and the Jews throughout history. That description is terribly dishonoring to the life sacrifices of our heroes of real war zones. The riot was counter productive to the Republican legal challenges. In fact, it actually stopped the legal proceedings of Congress which were attempting to challenge the certifications of a few specific electors. No guns were seen among the 2,000 rioters. The only death that day was an unarmed young female protester who was shot by a Capital policeman. Also, how many residents of Uvalde, Texas would agree that “carnage” or “war zone” was an apt description of the Capital riot. Does this picture look like a war zone? A witness at the January 6th “insurrection” hearing yesterday testified that she thought the Capital riot was “a war zone” with “carnage.” Coming four days after D-Day, I wonder how WW2 vets would compare what they witnessed in the actual war with the “carnage” of Jan.